FIGURE F4a. Predicted and observed sea surface
temperature (SST) anomalies for the Niņo 3 region from the NCEP
Coupled Forecast System Model (CFS03). The forecasts consist of 40
forecast members from 10-29 MAY 2005 initial conditions. The ensemble
mean of all 40 forecast members is shown by the thick curve,
individual members by thin curves, and observation by dotted curve.