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Severe Weather Forecast Demonstration Project

U.S. NOAA/NCEP GFS FORECASTS

SOUTHERN AFRICA


2-DAY OLD 06Z GFS FORECAST RUN

Surface and Column Parameters

24 Hour Total Precipitation 6hourly Precipitation - 4 Panel
6hourly Precipitation - Single Panel MSLP and Surface Winds
Column Precipitable Water 1000mb-500mb Height Thickness
180-0 mb above gnd CAPE 180-0 mb above gnd CIN
Minimum 2m-Temperature Maximum 2m-Temperature
Lifted Index Surface Temperature
K-Index Total Totals Index

GFS SkewT-LogP plots for selected locations

Gaborone(Botswana) Francictown(Botswana) Antananarivo(Madagascar)
Antsiranana(Madagascar) Maputo(Mozambique) Beira(Mozambique)
Dar es Salaam(Tanzania) Mtwara(Tanzania) Harare(Zimbabwe)
Bulawayo(Zimbabwe)

GDAS and GFS PRESSURE LEVEL VARIABLES

Variables / Levels 925hpa 850hpa 700hpa 500hpa 300hpa 200hpa
Winds GDAS    GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS
Temperature GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS
Heights GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS
Rel.Humidity GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS
Rel.Vorticity GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS
Vert.Velocity GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS
Theta-E GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS GDAS   GFS

NCEP ENSEMBLE FORECASTS

500mb Spaghetti plots (5500, 5670 isolines) 500mb Spaghetti plots (5700, 5870 isolines)
Spaghetti Diagrams of 20kt Isoline (10m wind) Spaghetti Diagrams of 30kt Isoline (10m wind)
Probability of 10m-wind speed exceeding 20kts Probability of 10m-wind speed exceeding 30kts
Probability of 6hr precipitation exceeding 10mm Probability of 6hr precipitation exceeding 50mm
Probability of 6hr precipitation exceeding 100mm Probability of 24hr precipitation exceeding 100mm
Spaghetti Diagrams of 50mm/6hr Precip Isoline


Other Forecast Runs including Previous Forecasts
Current Day 00Z 06Z 12Z 18Z
1-Day Old 00Z 06Z 12Z 18Z
2-Day Old 00Z 06Z 12Z 18Z
3-Day Old 00Z 06Z 12Z 18Z
4-Day Old 00Z 06Z 12Z 18Z
5-Day Old 00Z 06Z 12Z 18Z
6-Day Old 00Z 06Z 12Z 18Z


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