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GEFS NAEFS Short Agenda (PDF Version) (Click icon for Adobe PDF Reader)

GEFS NAEFS Long Agenda (PDF Version) (Click icon for Adobe PDF Reader)

GEFS NAEFS Agenda
Time	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday
8:00		NAEFS and CMC EPS Zoltan Toth	Lab 2A Relating potential threat to uncertainty Event of 20-21 Jan 07 Richard	Ensemble probabilistic forecasts verifications Bill Bua	Best forecasts practices Richard Grumm
9:00		Ensemble Products Bill Bua	Lab 2A (Cont’d)	Operational use of bias corrected ensemble data Richard Grumm	Case study and model performance I Richard Grumm
10:15	Coffee Break	Coffee Break	Coffee Break	Coffee Break	Coffee Break
10:30		GEFS and forecasting significant weather Richard Grumm	Lab 2B Cold season case 27 June 2007 Bill Bua	Case dependent variations in forecast skill Bill Bua	Case study and model performance II Bill Bua
11:30		Lab 1 Accessing NCEP GEFS data Richard Grumm	Lab 2C Identify and forecast heavy rainfall Event of 23-25 Feb 07	Probabilistic forecasts and climate data Richard Grumm	Model performance II (Cont’d) Bill Bua
12:30	Lunch Break	Lunch Break	Lunch Break	Lunch Break	Lunch Break
14:00	Overview of NWP methods Zoltan Toth	Factoring Climate Willem Landman/Wassila Thiaw	Lab 2C (Cont’d)	Special Session: Introduction to WINGRIDDS *Sergio Buque*	Country working groups
15:00	Model Jumpiness Richard Grumm	Statistical concepts using ensemble data Bill Bua	Lab 2D Practice Tropical Cyclone Favio, 21 Feb 07	WINGRIDDS Practice	Country working groups (Cont’d)
16:15	Coffee Break	Coffee Break	Coffee Break	Coffee Break	Coffee Break
16:30	Chaos theory and forecast uncertainty Zoltan Toth	Probabilistic ensemble forecast products Bill Bua	Lab 2D (Cont’d)	WINGRIDDS Practice	Country presentations
18:00	End of day	End of day	End of day	End of day	End of day


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