Agenda for 3rd CTB Science Advisory Board Meeting

Hilton Hotel, Silver Spring , MD

August 28-29, 2007

 

Tuesday, August 28, 2007  

8:00 a.m.           SAB Executive Session / Continental Breakfast (closed)  

SESSION 1: CTB OVERVIEW

Chairperson: Wayne Higgins

9:00 a.m.           Welcome, Objectives and Issues for SAB  – Wayne Higgins

9:15 a.m.           CFS as a National Model – Louis Uccellini  

9:45 a.m.           CTB Computer Resources / CFSRR Project  – Hualu Pan 

10:00 a.m.         ARC Contributions to the CTB – Jim Kinter

10:15 a.m.         Break

 SESSION 2: MULTI MODEL ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM

Chairperson: Suranjana Saha

10:30 a.m.         An overview of CTB MME activities at NCEP – Suru Saha

10:50 a.m.         MME with DEM3 and GFDL – Huug van den Dool

11:10 a.m.         Assessment of consolidation strategies for SST monthly forecasts for MME - Malaquias Peρa

11:30 a.m.         Consolidation of Official forecasts at CPC – David Unger

11:50 a.m.         NASA Plans for MME – Michele Rienecker

12:10 a.m.         MME Discussion

12:30 p.m.         Lunch

 SESSION 3: CFS TESTING AND EVALUATION

Chairpersons: Jae Schemm and Shrinivas Moorthi

1:30 p.m.           Synthesis of FY07 Experiments and Role of TPT during FY08 in CFS Reanalysis and Reforecasting – Jae Schemm and Shrinivas Moorthi

1:50 p.m.           Neural Network Emulations of Model Physics – Michael Fox Rabinovitz

2:10 p.m.           Using Initial Tendency Errors to Reduce Systematic Errors – Tim DelSole

2:30 p.m.           CFS Discussion

2:45 p.m.           Break

 SESSION 4: CLIMATE FORECAST PRODUCTS AND SERVICES

Chairperson: Ed O’Lenic

3:00 p.m.           An Evolving List of Climate Forecast Products – Ed O’lenic

3:20 p.m.           Drought Monitoring and Prediction – Kingtse Mo

3:40 p.m.           Recent Tropical Pacific ENSO Cycles:  Argo Analysis, GODAS and CFS Prediction – Michael McPhaden and Dongxiao Zhang

4:00 p.m.           CTB-CPC-CSD Collaboration – Robert Livezey

4:20 p.m.           Climate Forecast Products Discussion

5:00 p.m.           SAB Executive Session (closed)

5:30 p.m.           Break

6:00 p.m.           SAB Executive Session (closed) – Working dinner (provided) to draft responses to CTB questions

  Wednesday, August 29, 2007

  8:00 a.m.           SAB Executive Session / Continental Breakfast (closed)

 SESSION 5: CTB ADMINISTRATION

Chairperson: Wayne Higgins

9:00 a.m.            CTB Grants Program / O2R Concept – Ken Mooney 

9:15 a.m.           CTB Budget and Tracking CTB Tasks – Mel Gelman  

9:30 a.m.           Future of CTB Teams  –Siegfried Schubert and Hualu Pan

 SESSION 6: SAB DISCUSSIONS AND ADVICE

Chairperson: Tony Busalacchi

9:45 a.m.           Discussion with TPT Chairs (Saha, Moorthi, Schemm, O’lenic) and CST Chair (Schubert) but without CTB Management (closed) – Tony Busalacchi

10:15 a.m.         Discussion with Oversight Board (Koblinsky, Uccellini, Kumar, et al.) – Tony Busalacchi 

11:00 a.m.         Exit Interview with CTB Management and Oversight Board – Tony Busalacchi 

12:00 p.m.         End of Meeting