Skip Navigation Links www.nws.noaa.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA home page National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS home page
Climate Prediction Center

Outlooks
   Discussion
   Archive
   U.S. Monthly Temp.
      & Prec.

   U.S. Seasonal Temp.
     & Prec.

   Verification

Monitoring and Data
   GIS Data
   U.S. Weekly Drought       Monitor
   Drought
   Soil Moisture

About Us
   Our Mission
   Who We Are

Contact Us
   CPC Information
   CPC Web Team

 
 HOME > Expert Assessments > Drought Information > Monthly Drought Outlook
 
 
 
United States Monthly Drought Outlook Graphic - click on image to enlarge
(Click on image to enlarge)
 
PDF Version of Monthly Drought Outlook Graphic Adobe PDF Reader
 

Latest Monthly Assessment - Significant changes in the weather pattern are predicted across the Southwest. With the climatological monsoon winding down, a pronounced dry period is expected for most of the region in October. Farther north, across most of California, Nevada, Utah, and the Pacific Northwest, a dry pattern is favored by recent climate model runs. Persistence and/or Intensification of drought, as well as areas of possible Development is favored. In the central and southern Great Plains, climatology and the latest extended-range predictions (days 6-14) tilt toward Persistence/Intensification of drought conditions for most of this region. In southern Texas, however, Improvement and/or Removal is supported. In the East, the anticipated passage of several upper-air troughs enhances the chances of Improvement and/or Removal of drought, both in New England and southern Georgia and adjacent parts of the Florida Panhandle. In central Alabama however, October is typically the driest month of the year, and shorter-range rainfall forecasts (days 1-14) depict sparse precipitation amounts. Therefore, Persistence/Intensification of drought is indicated. Dry conditions are expected to continue over Hawaii and Puerto Rico in October, with a combination of Persistence, Intensification, or drought Development favored.

Forecaster: A. Artusa

Next Monthly Drought Outlook issued: October 31, 2014 at 3:00 PM EDT

Monthly Drought Outlook Discussion


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Climate Prediction Center
5830 University Research Court
College Park, Maryland 20740
Page Author: Climate Prediction Center Internet Team
Page last modified: September 30, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities