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CPC HOME > Tsunami Weather Products > Tsunami Weather Product Information
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INDIAN OCEAN TSUNAMI Product Information
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Brief descriptions of the products are below, and they imply some reasons for using this information
with caution. Long term verification statistics are not yet available for international forecast products derived
from NOAA's Global Forecast System. A limited amount of quality control is exercised on the international surface
data, and contoured analyses of these data are drawn by computer only.
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Satellite Imagery
Cloud temperatures derived from the Insat and GMS satellites are displayed in this single image and
24-hour loop. Cooler cloud temperatures are shown in yellow/red while warmer clouds appear in blue. Colder cloud
temperatures generally indicate heavier precipitation. Updated hourly.
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7-Day Rainfall Forecast
The latest weekly total precipitation forecast graphic from the NOAA Global Forecast System
meteorological model is shown. In general, the model has a slight tendency to overestimate rainfall and thus should
be used with caution. Due to the relative coarseness of this model (37.5 kilometers lat/lon), it is best used as a
regional guide rather than a localized forecast. Updated daily at approximately 11am Eastern.
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Cyclone Monitoring
Cyclone monitoring within the Indian Ocean and Western Pacific Basins is an ongoing activity within
the Climate Prediction Center Famine Early Warning System (FEWS-NET) project and is sponsored by the US Agency for
International Development (USAID). Data is obtained from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center so that graphical track
and forecast paths may be produced daily (3pm Eastern).
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Past Daily/Weekly Rainfall
Daily and weekly rainfall totals for the past seven days is taken from the
NOAA CMORPH rainfall algorithm. This model, using
satellites to estimate rainfall, has a general tendency to overestimate precipitation though its comparatively high
resolution (8 kilometers lat/lon) lends to a more detailed analysis. The CMORPH algorithm uses a variety of satellite
information sources as input, and yields rainfall estimates which do not rely on ground station data. Updated daily
by 7pm Eastern.
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Past Weekly Temperatures
Regional temperature analysis contours are derived from ground-based meteorological station data.
NOAA's Joint Agriculture Weather Facility (JAWF) plots extreme minimum temperature, extreme maximum temperature, and
temperature anomaly for the past seven day period Which are fed into computer contouring/analysis programs. Min/Max
temperature plots represent the extreme temperatures encountered during the past week, obtained by 3-hourly observing
ground-based stations. The temperature anomaly represents the average of all 3-hourly observations throughout the
week compared to the historical average. Updated daily.
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Daily Rainfall Forecasts
Rainfall forecasts for the next seven days are plotted from NOAA Global Forecast System
meteorological model data. In general, the model has a slight tendency to overestimate rainfall and thus should be
used with caution. Due to the relative coarseness of this model (37.5 kilometers lat/lon), it is best used as a
regional guide rather than a localized forecast. Updated daily at approximately at 11am Eastern.
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Daily Heat Index Forecasts
Heat Index (HI) is the temperature the body feels when heat and humidity are combined. Daily
forecasts for the next seven days are created from NOAA's Global Forecast System model data. Note that due to data
resolution limitations, local areas of extreme HI may not be captured. Due to the relative coarseness of this model
(37.5 kilometers lat/lon), it is best used as a regional guide rather than a localized forecast. Updated daily at
approximately 11am Eastern.
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Daily Minimum Temperature Forecasts
Approximate daily minimum temperature forecast for the next seven days are shown using data from
the NOAA Global Forecast System model. Due to the relative coarseness of this model (37.5 kilometers lat/lon), it is
best used as a regional guide rather than a localized forecast. Updated daily at approximately 11am Eastern.
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Daily Maximum Temperature Forecasts
Approximate daily maximum temperature forecast for the next seven days are shown using data from the
NOAA Global Forecast System model. Due to the relative coarseness of this model (100 kilometers lat/lon), it is best
used as a regional guide rather than a localized forecast. Updated daily at approximately 11am Eastern.
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GIS Format Data
Daily rainfall forecasts for the next seven days as well as rainfall estimates from the past seven
days have been converted to Geographical Information Systems format. This allows precipitation information to be
added as an overlay in any GIS software (such as ArcView) that recognizes the GRID format. Consult the readme files
for additional technical information. Updated daily at approximately: Forecasts-10pm Eastern; Estimates-4pm
Eastern.
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