CFSv2 Forecast of Monthly Mean Climate Anomalies for

May 2024

(Updated: Fri Apr 19 12:03:51 UTC 2024)

This page provides monthly climate anomalies from the NCEP version 2 coupled forecast system model (CFSv2) forecsts for next month. The forecasts shown in the following figures are ensemble means of all available forecast members from the initial conditions in most recent three days. All the monthly anomalies are based on the climatology from entire period (1991-2020) without any adjustment. The figures are updated daily before 8:00am.


North America Forecasts May 2024 from Apr 2024 Initial Conditions

Prec Anomaly
Prec Probability
 T2m Anomaly
 T2m Probability

CFSv2 hindcast monthly mean skill

May 2024 monthly mean anomalies from the latest initial conditions
SST
Prec
T2m
z200
z700
NA SM (new)
NA Prec
NA T2m
Initial Condition
Anomaly
Anomaly
Anomaly
Anomaly
Anomaly
Anomaly
Anomaly
Probability
Anomaly
Probability
Apr. 19, 2024
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Apr. 18, 2024
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Apr. 17, 2024
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Apr. 16, 2024
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Apr. 15, 2024
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Apr. 14, 2024
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Apr. 13, 2024
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Apr. 12, 2024
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Apr. 11, 2024
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Apr. 10, 2024
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Apr. 09, 2024
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Apr. 08, 2024
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Apr. 07, 2024
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Apr. 06, 2024
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Apr. 05, 2024
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Apr. 04, 2024
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Apr. 03, 2024
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Apr. 02, 2024
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Apr. 01, 2024
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Summary of the monthly mean forecast over the NA regions
NA Prec
NA T2m
anomaly
probability
anomaly
probability
May. 2024 from Apr. 2024 initial conditions
Apr. 2024 from Mar. 2024 initial conditions
Mar. 2024 from Feb. 2024 initial conditions
Feb. 2024 from Jan. 2024 initial conditions
Jan. 2024 from Dec. 2023 initial conditions
Dec. 2023 from Nov. 2023 initial conditions
Nov. 2023 from Oct. 2023 initial conditions
Oct. 2023 from Sep. 2023 initial conditions
Sep. 2023 from Aug. 2023 initial conditions
Aug. 2023 from Jul. 2023 initial conditions
Jul. 2023 from Jun. 2023 initial conditions
Jun. 2023 from May. 2023 initial conditions
May. 2023 from Apr. 2023 initial conditions
Apr. 2023 from Mar. 2023 initial conditions
Mar. 2023 from Feb. 2023 initial conditions
Feb. 2023 from Jan. 2023 initial conditions
Jan. 2023 from Dec. 2022 initial conditions
Dec. 2022 from Nov. 2022 initial conditions
Nov. 2022 from Oct. 2022 initial conditions
Oct. 2022 from Sep. 2022 initial conditions
Sep. 2022 from Aug. 2022 initial conditions
Aug. 2022 from Jul. 2022 initial conditions
Jul. 2022 from Jun. 2022 initial conditions
Jun. 2022 from May. 2022 initial conditions
May. 2022 from Apr. 2022 initial conditions
Apr. 2022 from Mar. 2022 initial conditions
Mar. 2022 from Feb. 2022 initial conditions
Feb. 2022 from Jan. 2022 initial conditions
Jan. 2022 from Dec. 2021 initial conditions
Dec. 2021 from Nov. 2021 initial conditions
Nov. 2021 from Oct. 2021 initial conditions
Oct. 2021 from Sep. 2021 initial conditions
Sep. 2021 from Aug. 2021 initial conditions
Aug. 2021 from Jul. 2021 initial conditions
Jul. 2021 from Jun. 2021 initial conditions
Jun. 2021 from May. 2021 initial conditions
May. 2021 from Apr. 2021 initial conditions
Apr. 2021 from Mar. 2021 initial conditions
Mar. 2021 from Feb. 2021 initial conditions
Feb. 2021 from Jan. 2021 initial conditions
Jan. 2021 from Dec. 2020 initial conditions
Dec. 2020 from Nov. 2020 initial conditions
Nov. 2020 from Oct. 2020 initial conditions
Oct. 2020 from Sep. 2020 initial conditions
Sep. 2020 from Aug. 2020 initial conditions
Aug. 2020 from Jul. 2020 initial conditions
Jul. 2020 from Jun. 2020 initial conditions
Jun. 2020 from May. 2020 initial conditions
May. 2020 from Apr. 2020 initial conditions
Apr. 2020 from Mar. 2020 initial conditions
Mar. 2020 from Feb. 2020 initial conditions
Feb. 2020 from Jan. 2020 initial conditions
Jan. 2020 from Dec. 2019 initial conditions
Dec. 2019 from Nov. 2019 initial conditions
Nov. 2019 from Oct. 2019 initial conditions
Oct. 2019 from Sep. 2019 initial conditions
Sep. 2019 from Aug. 2019 initial conditions
Aug. 2019 from Jul. 2019 initial conditions
Jul. 2019 from Jun. 2019 initial conditions
Jun. 2019 from May. 2019 initial conditions
May. 2019 from Apr. 2019 initial conditions
Apr. 2019 from Mar. 2019 initial conditions
Mar. 2019 from Feb. 2019 initial conditions
Feb. 2019 from Jan. 2019 initial conditions
Jan. 2019 from Dec. 2018 initial conditions
Dec. 2018 from Nov. 2018 initial conditions
Nov. 2018 from Oct. 2018 initial conditions
Oct. 2018 from Sep. 2018 initial conditions
Sep. 2018 from Aug. 2018 initial conditions
Aug. 2018 from Jul. 2018 initial conditions
Jul. 2018 from Jun. 2018 initial conditions
Jun. 2018 from May. 2018 initial conditions
May. 2018 from Apr. 2018 initial conditions
Apr. 2018 from Mar. 2018 initial conditions
Mar. 2018 from Feb. 2018 initial conditions
Feb. 2018 from Jan. 2018 initial conditions
Jan. 2018 from Dec. 2017 initial conditions
Dec. 2017 from Nov. 2017 initial conditions
Nov. 2017 from Oct. 2017 initial conditions
Oct. 2017 from Sep. 2017 initial conditions
Sep. 2017 from Aug. 2017 initial conditions
Aug. 2017 from Jul. 2017 initial conditions
Jul. 2017 from Jun. 2017 initial conditions
Jun. 2017 from May. 2017 initial conditions
May. 2017 from Apr. 2017 initial conditions
Apr. 2017 from Mar. 2017 initial conditions
Mar. 2017 from Feb. 2017 initial conditions
Feb. 2017 from Jan. 2017 initial conditions
Jan. 2017 from Dec. 2016 initial conditions
Dec. 2016 from Nov. 2016 initial conditions
Nov. 2016 from Oct. 2016 initial conditions
Oct. 2016 from Sep. 2016 initial conditions
Sep. 2016 from Aug. 2016 initial conditions
Aug. 2016 from Jul. 2016 initial conditions
Jul. 2016 from Jun. 2016 initial conditions
Jun. 2016 from May. 2016 initial conditions
May. 2016 from Apr. 2016 initial conditions
Apr. 2016 from Mar. 2016 initial conditions
Mar. 2016 from Feb. 2016 initial conditions
Feb. 2016 from Jan. 2016 initial conditions
Jan. 2016 from Dec. 2015 initial conditions
Dec. 2015 from Nov. 2015 initial conditions
Nov. 2015 from Oct. 2015 initial conditions
Oct. 2015 from Sep. 2015 initial conditions
Sep. 2015 from Aug. 2015 initial conditions
Aug. 2015 from Jul. 2015 initial conditions
Jul. 2015 from Jun. 2015 initial conditions
Jun. 2015 from May. 2015 initial conditions
May. 2015 from Apr. 2015 initial conditions
Apr. 2015 from Mar. 2015 initial conditions
Mar. 2015 from Feb. 2015 initial conditions
Feb. 2015 from Jan. 2015 initial conditions
Jan. 2015 from Dec. 2014 initial conditions
Dec. 2014 from Nov. 2014 initial conditions
Nov. 2014 from Oct. 2014 initial conditions
Oct. 2014 from Sep. 2014 initial conditions
Sep. 2014 from Aug. 2014 initial conditions
Aug. 2014 from Jul. 2014 initial conditions
Jul. 2014 from Jun. 2014 initial conditions
Jun. 2014 from May. 2014 initial conditions
May. 2014 from Apr. 2014 initial conditions
Apr. 2014 from Mar. 2014 initial conditions
Mar. 2014 from Feb. 2014 initial conditions
Feb. 2014 from Jan. 2014 initial conditions
Jan. 2014 from Dec. 2013 initial conditions
Dec. 2013 from Nov. 2013 initial conditions
Nov. 2013 from Oct. 2013 initial conditions
Oct. 2013 from Sep. 2013 initial conditions
Sep. 2013 from Aug. 2013 initial conditions
Aug. 2013 from Jul. 2013 initial conditions
Jul. 2013 from Jun. 2013 initial conditions
Jun. 2013 from May. 2013 initial conditions
May. 2013 from Apr. 2013 initial conditions
Apr. 2013 from Mar. 2013 initial conditions
Mar. 2013 from Feb. 2013 initial conditions
Feb. 2013 from Jan. 2013 initial conditions
Jan. 2013 from Dec. 2012 initial conditions
Dec. 2012 from Nov. 2012 initial conditions
Nov. 2012 from Oct. 2012 initial conditions
Oct. 2012 from Sep. 2012 initial conditions
Sep. 2012 from Aug. 2012 initial conditions
Aug. 2012 from Jul. 2012 initial conditions
Jul. 2012 from Jun. 2012 initial conditions
Jun. 2012 from May. 2012 initial conditions
May. 2012 from Apr. 2012 initial conditions
Apr. 2012 from Mar. 2012 initial conditions
Mar. 2012 from Feb. 2012 initial conditions
Feb. 2012 from Jan. 2012 initial conditions
Jan. 2012 from Dec. 2011 initial conditions
Dec. 2011 from Nov. 2011 initial conditions
Nov. 2011 from Oct. 2011 initial conditions
Oct. 2011 from Sep. 2011 initial conditions
Sep. 2011 from Aug. 2011 initial conditions
Aug. 2011 from Jul. 2011 initial conditions
Jul. 2011 from Jun. 2011 initial conditions


Seasonal Mean Forecast

Weekly Mean Forecast

Hindcast Diagnoses

SST Monthly Forecast Verification

Seasonal Analysis and Attribution

Send your comments to: Mingyue Chen (Mingyue.Chen@noaa.gov)