START YEAR, MONTH, e.g. 1996 1 means that the last data used was Jan. 1996. FORECAST LEAD MONTH, 0, 1,...12, e.g. the first number -0.73 is the initial condition and the second number -0.72 is the forecast for Feb. 1996 etc. 1996 1 -.75 -.62 -.48 -.36 -.21 -.02 -.02 .03 .16 .30 .42 .60 .70 1996 2 -.62 -.49 -.38 -.25 -.07 -.06 -.02 .10 .24 .36 .54 .63 .63 1996 3 -.44 -.33 -.21 -.04 -.05 -.03 .07 .17 .27 .44 .53 .53 .51 1996 4 -.65 -.55 -.38 -.38 -.38 -.32 -.25 -.17 .00 .11 .17 .22 .25 1996 5 -.60 -.42 -.41 -.39 -.32 -.23 -.14 .03 .16 .22 .27 .30 .38 1996 6 -.39 -.38 -.37 -.29 -.20 -.11 .07 .19 .24 .28 .32 .39 .51 1996 7 -.42 -.43 -.38 -.33 -.26 -.10 .01 .08 .13 .18 .25 .38 .33 1996 8 -.43 -.38 -.33 -.26 -.10 .01 .08 .13 .18 .25 .38 .33 .34 1996 9 -.54 -.52 -.48 -.33 -.22 -.14 -.07 .00 .10 .25 .22 .25 .37 1996 10 -.56 -.53 -.40 -.30 -.22 -.15 -.07 .03 .19 .17 .20 .33 .47 1996 11 -.54 -.38 -.25 -.15 -.06 .02 .14 .31 .30 .35 .51 .67 .81 1996 12 -.55 -.42 -.31 -.21 -.10 .05 .25 .27 .35 .55 .76 .93 1.13 1997 1 -.33 -.21 -.09 .03 .20 .41 .44 .54 .78 1.01 1.21 1.41 1.48 1997 2 -.20 -.10 .01 .16 .35 .35 .43 .63 .82 .99 1.18 1.24 1.17 1997 3 .34 .46 .64 .83 .84 .94 1.19 1.43 1.63 1.82 1.84 1.70 1.49 1997 4 .85 .99 1.14 1.11 1.19 1.45 1.69 1.88 2.05 2.03 1.84 1.58 1.38 1997 5 1.30 1.40 1.33 1.38 1.60 1.79 1.95 2.09 2.02 1.80 1.52 1.29 1.06 1997 6 1.87 1.75 1.78 2.00 2.18 2.32 2.43 2.31 2.03 1.68 1.39 1.09 .92 1997 7 2.01 2.01 2.21 2.35 2.47 2.55 2.39 2.07 1.69 1.36 1.02 .81 .49 1997 8 2.41 2.64 2.81 2.94 3.02 2.82 2.44 1.99 1.60 1.19 .93 .55 .23 1997 9 2.61 2.76 2.86 2.92 2.71 2.33 1.88 1.49 1.08 .81 .44 .11 -.23 1997 10 2.84 2.93 2.98 2.75 2.36 1.90 1.50 1.06 .78 .38 .04 -.34 -.71 1997 11 2.94 3.03 2.85 2.48 2.04 1.64 1.20 .90 .49 .12 -.28 -.68 -.99 1997 12 2.83 2.66 2.33 1.93 1.55 1.14 .86 .46 .11 -.28 -.67 -.97 -1.10 1998 1 2.51 2.20 1.81 1.45 1.06 .79 .41 .06 -.31 -.68 -.97 -1.10 -1.23 1998 2 2.01 1.62 1.26 .86 .61 .24 -.10 -.47 -.84 -1.13 -1.24 -1.36 -1.37 1998 3 1.57 1.24 .88 .65 .31 -.01 -.34 -.67 -.92 -1.02 -1.13 -1.15 -1.11 1998 4 1.00 .61 .37 .01 -.34 -.75 -1.15 -1.45 -1.57 -1.66 -1.62 -1.52 -1.45 1998 5 .50 .27 -.07 -.41 -.81 -1.19 -1.49 -1.59 -1.67 -1.62 -1.51 -1.43 -1.39 1998 6 -.19 -.49 -.82 -1.22 -1.61 -1.90 -1.98 -2.00 -1.89 -1.70 -1.56 -1.45 -1.25 1998 7 -.57 -.92 -1.37 -1.79 -2.12 -2.21 -2.24 -2.11 -1.89 -1.74 -1.61 -1.41 -1.37 1998 8 -.71 -1.12 -1.52 -1.82 -1.91 -1.96 -1.86 -1.70 -1.57 -1.48 -1.29 -1.28 -1.31 1998 9 -.93 -1.30 -1.58 -1.67 -1.72 -1.65 -1.52 -1.42 -1.36 -1.20 -1.21 -1.26 -1.34 1998 10 -1.20 -1.49 -1.57 -1.62 -1.56 -1.43 -1.36 -1.33 -1.20 -1.24 -1.34 -1.47 -1.57 1998 11 -1.31 -1.36 -1.41 -1.35 -1.23 -1.18 -1.15 -1.05 -1.10 -1.22 -1.36 -1.48 -1.55 1998 12 -1.48 -1.55 -1.51 -1.40 -1.35 -1.33 -1.22 -1.27 -1.38 -1.52 -1.64 -1.71 -1.59 1999 1 -1.75 -1.68 -1.53 -1.45 -1.42 -1.31 -1.35 -1.47 -1.64 -1.78 -1.87 -1.75 -1.58 1999 2 -1.44 -1.32 -1.28 -1.28 -1.19 -1.26 -1.40 -1.59 -1.75 -1.85 -1.75 -1.59 -1.37 1999 3 -1.18 -1.17 -1.20 -1.14 -1.24 -1.40 -1.63 -1.82 -1.95 -1.87 -1.73 -1.51 -1.24 1999 4 -1.32 -1.33 -1.25 -1.32 -1.47 -1.67 -1.84 -1.95 -1.85 -1.69 -1.46 -1.18 -.97 1999 5 -1.07 -.99 -1.06 -1.18 -1.34 -1.47 -1.55 -1.45 -1.31 -1.12 -.90 -.73 -.55 1999 6 -.96 -1.02 -1.11 -1.23 -1.33 -1.38 -1.26 -1.12 -.94 -.74 -.59 -.41 -.20 1999 7 -1.03 -1.13 -1.25 -1.34 -1.39 -1.28 -1.14 -.96 -.76 -.60 -.42 -.20 -.16 1999 8 -1.12 -1.25 -1.34 -1.40 -1.29 -1.15 -.98 -.78 -.62 -.43 -.21 -.17 -.11 1999 9 -1.19 -1.29 -1.36 -1.26 -1.13 -.98 -.79 -.64 -.46 -.24 -.21 -.16 -.02 1999 10 -1.28 -1.36 -1.27 -1.15 -.99 -.80 -.66 -.49 -.29 -.26 -.23 -.11 .01 1999 11 -1.48 -1.38 -1.25 -1.07 -.87 -.71 -.53 -.32 -.29 -.26 -.15 -.03 .08 1999 12 -1.67 -1.56 -1.37 -1.14 -.96 -.77 -.54 -.50 -.45 -.35 -.24 -.13 .08 2000 1 -1.77 -1.57 -1.31 -1.12 -.93 -.69 -.64 -.61 -.53 -.43 -.33 -.13 .04 2000 2 -1.48 -1.24 -1.08 -.92 -.73 -.71 -.71 -.69 -.65 -.61 -.43 -.27 -.15 2000 3 -1.23 -1.10 -.98 -.82 -.82 -.87 -.91 -.93 -.93 -.78 -.63 -.49 -.33 2000 4 -.95 -.86 -.72 -.76 -.83 -.91 -.96 -.99 -.86 -.73 -.59 -.44 -.33 2000 5 -.95 -.81 -.85 -.93 -1.02 -1.08 -1.12 -.99 -.85 -.70 -.52 -.40 -.26 2000 6 -.67 -.69 -.73 -.75 -.76 -.74 -.59 -.45 -.33 -.21 -.12 .00 .15 2000 7 -.62 -.66 -.67 -.66 -.64 -.49 -.36 -.25 -.15 -.06 .04 .19 .16 2000 8 -.62 -.61 -.59 -.55 -.39 -.26 -.16 -.07 .01 .11 .25 .22 .23 2000 9 -.60 -.58 -.54 -.38 -.25 -.15 -.05 .02 .12 .26 .22 .23 .33 2000 10 -.75 -.74 -.60 -.47 -.36 -.24 -.15 -.04 .12 .09 .11 .21 .31 2000 11 -.90 -.76 -.62 -.49 -.35 -.24 -.10 .08 .07 .11 .23 .36 .48 2000 12 -.93 -.81 -.67 -.52 -.41 -.27 -.09 -.09 -.07 .04 .15 .25 .42 2001 1 -1.10 -.97 -.81 -.69 -.56 -.38 -.37 -.37 -.30 -.23 -.15 .02 .14 2001 2 -1.00 -.87 -.79 -.71 -.57 -.60 -.64 -.66 -.66 -.65 -.51 -.38 -.28 2001 3 -.65 -.56 -.47 -.34 -.38 -.42 -.43 -.43 -.41 -.28 -.18 -.11 -.04 2001 4 -.51 -.47 -.36 -.42 -.49 -.52 -.55 -.56 -.44 -.35 -.27 -.19 -.13 2001 5 -.57 -.45 -.50 -.55 -.58 -.60 -.59 -.46 -.36 -.27 -.18 -.11 -.02 2001 6 -.28 -.32 -.35 -.34 -.30 -.26 -.12 -.03 .02 .06 .10 .17 .29 2001 7 -.12 -.12 -.05 .03 .11 .26 .34 .35 .35 .35 .38 .47 .39 2001 8 -.16 -.12 -.06 .01 .14 .21 .22 .22 .23 .27 .38 .33 .33 2001 9 -.28 -.21 -.14 .00 .09 .12 .15 .19 .26 .40 .37 .41 .55 2001 10 -.34 -.28 -.14 -.05 .01 .05 .10 .19 .34 .31 .35 .50 .65 2001 11 -.42 -.29 -.20 -.13 -.07 .00 .10 .26 .25 .30 .46 .62 .76 2001 12 -.34 -.25 -.19 -.13 -.07 .03 .19 .17 .21 .35 .49 .62 .79 2002 1 -.23 -.17 -.12 -.06 .03 .19 .17 .20 .34 .48 .61 .78 .84 2002 2 .00 .02 .05 .11 .25 .21 .23 .35 .47 .58 .73 .78 .74 2002 3 .08 .11 .17 .29 .24 .25 .35 .46 .55 .69 .74 .69 .62 2002 4 .08 .13 .26 .21 .23 .34 .46 .56 .71 .76 .72 .64 .59 2002 5 .09 .23 .19 .22 .33 .45 .56 .72 .77 .73 .66 .61 .59 2002 6 .35 .33 .37 .52 .68 .82 .98 1.03 .97 .86 .79 .74 .77 2002 7 .50 .57 .76 .96 1.13 1.30 1.34 1.24 1.10 .99 .91 .91 .76 2002 8 .67 .88 1.09 1.26 1.44 1.46 1.35 1.18 1.06 .97 .96 .80 .74 2002 9 .91 1.14 1.32 1.50 1.53 1.42 1.24 1.12 1.02 1.01 .85 .78 .82 2002 10 1.25 1.44 1.60 1.61 1.47 1.27 1.13 1.02 1.00 .83 .76 .78 .80 2002 11 1.40 1.53 1.51 1.35 1.14 1.00 .89 .88 .72 .66 .70 .73 .77 2002 12 1.39 1.34 1.18 .97 .83 .72 .72 .56 .50 .53 .56 .59 .66 2003 1 .86 .73 .57 .49 .42 .48 .38 .36 .43 .52 .59 .70 .71 2003 2 .58 .42 .33 .25 .31 .20 .17 .21 .27 .33 .43 .45 .41 2003 3 .33 .29 .27 .35 .27 .27 .36 .45 .54 .67 .70 .64 .55 2003 4 -.09 -.10 .01 -.04 -.04 .03 .13 .21 .36 .42 .41 .38 .38 2003 5 -.49 -.34 -.36 -.34 -.26 -.16 -.06 .10 .21 .25 .28 .32 .39 2003 6 -.03 -.05 -.01 .11 .24 .36 .53 .61 .60 .57 .55 .57 .66 2003 7 .14 .15 .26 .37 .47 .62 .67 .64 .58 .54 .53 .59 .49 2003 8 .13 .22 .33 .43 .58 .63 .60 .54 .51 .51 .58 .48 .46 2003 9 .09 .17 .25 .39 .44 .42 .38 .37 .39 .48 .40 .39 .49 2003 10 .22 .29 .42 .46 .43 .38 .36 .36 .43 .34 .31 .37 .43 2003 11 .40 .54 .58 .55 .48 .45 .45 .52 .43 .41 .49 .56 .63 2003 12 .22 .25 .23 .20 .20 .21 .31 .25 .25 .33 .43 .51 .65 2004 1 .22 .21 .19 .20 .23 .34 .28 .28 .38 .48 .58 .71 .75 2004 2 -.02 -.02 .01 .05 .18 .14 .15 .26 .37 .48 .63 .68 .65 2004 3 -.08 -.07 -.04 .08 .02 .02 .09 .17 .25 .39 .45 .44 .40 2004 4 .03 .03 .13 .06 .05 .12 .20 .28 .41 .46 .44 .40 .38 2004 5 -.12 .01 -.03 -.01 .08 .18 .28 .43 .50 .50 .46 .45 .47 2004 6 .19 .16 .20 .35 .50 .64 .80 .86 .82 .74 .69 .68 .75 2004 7 .37 .42 .59 .75 .90 1.06 1.10 1.03 .91 .83 .78 .81 .67 2004 8 .42 .61 .80 .97 1.14 1.19 1.11 .99 .91 .86 .89 .77 .74 2004 9 .56 .74 .89 1.05 1.10 1.02 .90 .83 .79 .83 .71 .68 .76 2004 10 .61 .75 .90 .93 .86 .75 .70 .68 .75 .65 .65 .76 .87 2004 11 .70 .85 .90 .85 .76 .71 .68 .74 .63 .61 .69 .78 .85 2004 12 .69 .72 .66 .58 .53 .52 .59 .49 .48 .57 .65 .73 .85 2005 1 .42 .42 .39 .40 .44 .56 .50 .53 .68 .82 .95 1.10 1.11 2005 2 .41 .34 .32 .33 .43 .37 .39 .51 .64 .76 .90 .93 .85 2005 3 .38 .36 .35 .44 .35 .35 .43 .52 .60 .72 .74 .68 .58 2005 4 .24 .23 .31 .22 .20 .26 .32 .39 .51 .53 .49 .43 .39 2005 5 .17 .22 .11 .06 .06 .07 .10 .20 .22 .20 .17 .15 .15 2005 6 .20 .11 .06 .07 .10 .13 .23 .26 .24 .21 .19 .19 .27 2005 7 .12 .07 .08 .10 .13 .23 .26 .23 .20 .18 .18 .26 .17 2005 8 .07 .11 .16 .21 .32 .36 .34 .30 .28 .28 .35 .27 .24 2005 9 -.24 -.22 -.19 -.08 -.03 -.01 .00 .04 .09 .23 .19 .21 .32 2005 10 -.33 -.29 -.18 -.11 -.07 -.04 .01 .09 .24 .22 .26 .40 .55 2005 11 -.61 -.51 -.44 -.37 -.30 -.22 -.10 .08 .09 .15 .31 .48 .63 2005 12 -.84 -.79 -.71 -.61 -.52 -.41 -.22 -.22 -.18 -.07 .06 .17 .36 2006 1 -1.08 -1.00 -.88 -.79 -.69 -.53 -.53 -.53 -.50 -.44 -.37 -.21 -.08 2006 2 -.83 -.74 -.67 -.61 -.48 -.51 -.55 -.56 -.55 -.52 -.38 -.27 -.18 2006 3 -.75 -.68 -.61 -.47 -.50 -.52 -.51 -.48 -.44 -.30 -.18 -.10 -.02 2006 4 -.61 -.54 -.40 -.43 -.45 -.43 -.40 -.36 -.21 -.11 -.04 .03 .08 2006 5 -.24 -.10 -.14 -.15 -.10 -.04 .02 .17 .25 .27 .28 .29 .31 2006 6 -.02 -.06 -.06 .01 .09 .17 .32 .39 .40 .38 .37 .39 .47 2006 7 .23 .24 .33 .43 .52 .66 .71 .67 .60 .54 .51 .55 .43 2006 8 .53 .65 .77 .87 1.01 1.01 .92 .80 .70 .62 .63 .49 .41 2006 9 .71 .83 .94 1.07 1.07 .97 .83 .73 .64 .64 .49 .41 .41 2006 10 1.00 1.12 1.24 1.22 1.08 .91 .79 .70 .70 .56 .49 .52 .54 2006 11 .97 1.11 1.12 1.03 .89 .79 .72 .73 .58 .52 .54 .56 .59 2006 12 .88 .84 .73 .59 .49 .41 .43 .29 .22 .21 .21 .22 .30 2007 1 .47 .39 .31 .25 .20 .24 .13 .07 .06 .07 .09 .18 .20 2007 2 .01 -.06 -.11 -.16 -.10 -.20 -.26 -.29 -.30 -.29 -.19 -.14 -.11 2007 3 -.26 -.28 -.30 -.20 -.27 -.31 -.31 -.28 -.25 -.13 -.05 -.01 .02 2007 4 -.35 -.37 -.27 -.34 -.38 -.37 -.34 -.31 -.18 -.09 -.05 -.01 .04 2007 5 -.58 -.46 -.52 -.55 -.55 -.53 -.49 -.36 -.25 -.17 -.10 -.03 .08 2007 6 -.52 -.58 -.62 -.63 -.62 -.59 -.46 -.34 -.26 -.17 -.09 .03 .19 2007 7 -.58 -.64 -.68 -.69 -.68 -.56 -.46 -.37 -.28 -.19 -.07 .11 .10 2007 8 -.81 -.89 -.94 -.95 -.85 -.75 -.64 -.52 -.40 -.24 -.03 .00 .08 2007 9 -1.16 -1.22 -1.24 -1.13 -1.01 -.86 -.69 -.53 -.33 -.08 -.02 .08 .31 2007 10 -1.44 -1.48 -1.38 -1.24 -1.07 -.87 -.68 -.45 -.18 -.10 .02 .26 .50 2007 11 -1.69 -1.61 -1.49 -1.30 -1.08 -.88 -.66 -.38 -.30 -.18 .03 .25 .45 2007 12 -1.72 -1.63 -1.46 -1.24 -1.06 -.87 -.63 -.57 -.51 -.39 -.25 -.12 .09 2008 1 -1.94 -1.75 -1.50 -1.32 -1.14 -.92 -.88 -.87 -.84 -.79 -.72 -.53 -.35 2008 2 -1.85 -1.60 -1.44 -1.30 -1.12 -1.11 -1.16 -1.23 -1.27 -1.28 -1.12 -.94 -.74 2008 3 -1.37 -1.24 -1.14 -.98 -.99 -1.06 -1.13 -1.18 -1.20 -1.05 -.89 -.72 -.53 2008 4 -1.10 -.99 -.85 -.87 -.94 -1.02 -1.08 -1.11 -.97 -.82 -.66 -.49 -.37