HOME > Expert Assessments > Global Tropics Benefits/Hazards Assessment
 

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Please refer to the Product Description Document (PDD) for additional details
 

Product Release Information

CPC issues the product once a week on Monday at 21 UTC except during US federal holidays when it is released on Tuesday at 21 UTC.

Product Content Information

The experimental Global Tropics Benefits / Hazards Assessment provides an outlook for the upcoming 1 to 2 week time period for areas expecting extensive and persistent enhanced / suppressed rainfall and regions where conditions are especially favorable / unfavorable for tropical cyclogenesis.

The product supports the NOAA mission in three ways: (1) assess and forecast important changes in the distribution of tropical convection (can lead to circulation changes across the US) and communicate this information to NWS forecasters, (2) provide advance notice of potential hazards related to climate, weather and hydrological events across the global tropics (including tropical cyclone risks for several NWS regions), and (3) act as an additional resource for various sectors of the US economy that have foreign interests (finance, energy, agriculture, water resource management).

The product synthesizes information and expert analysis from a number of CPC assessments as well as other operational monitoring products. The physical basis for the outlooks include the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), other coherent subseasonal tropical variability, interactions with the extratropical circulation, and numerical weather forecast guidance. The product is generated with input from other NOAA centers including the Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL), the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, and select National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices among other domestic and international collaborators.

Numbered tropical benefits and hazards appear on two images (week 1 and week 2 respectively) and include a text description below the map explaining the nature and rationale for the highlighted region. Images can be made larger by clicking on the heading labels.

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