| |
|
|
Monthly Average |
12 Month Mean |
| Model |
Run |
Tool |
Sep 12 |
Oct 12 |
Nov 12 |
Dec 12 |
Jan 13 |
Feb 13 |
Mar 13 |
Apr 13 |
May 13 |
Jun 13 |
Jul 13 |
Aug 13 |
| Official |
xx |
All |
27.1 |
39.5 |
29.1 |
43.1 |
37.5 |
35.1 |
29.9 |
40.0 |
25.3 |
26.8 |
24.7 |
41.5 |
33.4 |
| CDC |
xx |
All |
21.3 |
21.2 |
28.6 |
42.5 |
26.6 |
29.3 |
26.0 |
28.5 |
14.5 |
11.7 |
20.7 |
14.2 |
24.5 |
| Auto |
xx |
All |
16.0 |
31.4 |
30.1 |
32.5 |
28.6 |
6.5 |
13.2 |
41.0 |
28.8 |
18.7 |
22.2 |
23.1 |
27.0 |
| ManBlend |
xx |
Analogs |
2.1 |
-2.7 |
-6.7 |
-3.8 |
2.4 |
-2.4 |
-5.0 |
-3.1 |
-1.4 |
6.3 |
0.9 |
-12.7 |
-2.4 |
| Klein |
6.2 |
25.0 |
25.4 |
21.9 |
27.3 |
29.7 |
31.8 |
30.2 |
27.4 |
23.4 |
28.1 |
19.3 |
25.1 |
| NNet |
1.4 |
13.6 |
10.4 |
33.9 |
29.8 |
20.4 |
10.2 |
17.1 |
15.1 |
6.7 |
7.1 |
12.1 |
15.2 |
| GFSM |
00 |
Analogs |
21.4 |
20.8 |
11.9 |
13.5 |
13.7 |
21.4 |
23.3 |
12.7 |
9.5 |
11.6 |
11.7 |
11.5 |
15.6 |
| Klein |
8.0 |
21.7 |
20.3 |
19.4 |
14.0 |
26.7 |
25.9 |
21.0 |
16.6 |
18.6 |
18.0 |
8.2 |
18.4 |
| NNet |
1.9 |
13.0 |
9.4 |
30.9 |
26.1 |
19.9 |
13.8 |
16.1 |
7.4 |
|
|
|
16.4 |
| NAEFS |
23.7 |
39.8 |
28.5 |
33.1 |
36.1 |
37.3 |
34.2 |
34.8 |
26.4 |
25.5 |
21.5 |
41.3 |
31.8 |
| GFSM |
06 |
Analogs |
20.8 |
20.1 |
15.7 |
12.6 |
12.5 |
20.1 |
19.8 |
12.0 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.6 |
10.0 |
15.0 |
| Klein |
7.7 |
22.8 |
21.9 |
19.0 |
14.9 |
28.3 |
26.9 |
20.3 |
16.9 |
21.5 |
19.4 |
11.5 |
19.5 |
| NNet |
0.3 |
12.0 |
10.2 |
31.2 |
26.9 |
20.8 |
13.2 |
17.0 |
5.3 |
|
|
|
16.4 |
| NAEFS |
20.6 |
39.6 |
32.0 |
35.9 |
30.1 |
33.0 |
33.4 |
30.9 |
23.4 |
25.1 |
24.3 |
35.0 |
30.4 |
| GFSM |
12 |
Analogs |
18.1 |
20.8 |
15.8 |
7.2 |
8.6 |
18.4 |
19.4 |
12.7 |
9.6 |
10.0 |
9.6 |
9.2 |
13.4 |
| Klein |
8.4 |
20.7 |
17.9 |
10.5 |
10.8 |
21.9 |
24.1 |
13.2 |
15.5 |
14.8 |
18.3 |
10.3 |
15.6 |
| NNet |
0.0 |
15.3 |
15.0 |
28.6 |
26.4 |
18.1 |
15.6 |
12.5 |
4.2 |
|
|
|
16.3 |
| NAEFS |
25.2 |
39.5 |
31.6 |
34.0 |
37.7 |
37.3 |
35.3 |
36.0 |
29.4 |
27.4 |
23.2 |
43.9 |
33.4 |
| GFSM |
18 |
Analogs |
14.1 |
20.1 |
17.6 |
10.3 |
5.8 |
19.2 |
18.2 |
7.2 |
11.8 |
15.6 |
7.1 |
7.7 |
13.1 |
| Klein |
8.0 |
24.1 |
20.7 |
12.3 |
7.3 |
21.1 |
24.6 |
12.7 |
14.9 |
16.8 |
16.0 |
9.8 |
15.9 |
| NNet |
0.7 |
16.8 |
12.4 |
28.1 |
25.1 |
17.9 |
14.2 |
13.6 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
15.9 |
| NAEFS |
21.8 |
44.6 |
32.8 |
35.8 |
32.0 |
33.3 |
35.0 |
30.4 |
24.9 |
26.8 |
26.5 |
41.7 |
31.9 |
| GFSM |
xx |
Analogs |
22.4 |
20.7 |
14.3 |
12.1 |
11.3 |
21.4 |
21.6 |
14.1 |
8.5 |
12.0 |
12.9 |
12.3 |
15.6 |
| Klein |
8.8 |
21.7 |
20.8 |
17.2 |
13.6 |
28.1 |
25.8 |
20.6 |
17.5 |
19.5 |
19.6 |
9.6 |
18.8 |
| Klein_Prob |
5.6 |
25.7 |
26.1 |
22.7 |
15.1 |
30.8 |
29.0 |
24.3 |
17.9 |
22.4 |
25.6 |
15.9 |
22.0 |
| NNet |
1.8 |
13.5 |
7.9 |
32.5 |
28.9 |
21.5 |
14.3 |
18.2 |
6.9 |
|
|
|
17.2 |
| NNet_Prob |
-1.9 |
11.9 |
9.3 |
27.8 |
26.8 |
19.0 |
11.6 |
13.2 |
5.4 |
|
|
|
14.7 |
| Cal_Temp |
27.5 |
44.4 |
30.9 |
44.8 |
39.1 |
40.0 |
33.1 |
39.5 |
27.2 |
32.3 |
28.2 |
43.2 |
35.8 |
| Uncal_Temp |
12.4 |
33.3 |
34.2 |
38.9 |
34.1 |
35.9 |
30.8 |
29.3 |
19.1 |
19.9 |
14.0 |
19.5 |
26.9 |
| ECMM |
00 |
Analogs |
21.3 |
25.3 |
19.5 |
19.2 |
23.5 |
23.2 |
22.5 |
15.5 |
12.2 |
9.9 |
12.1 |
12.4 |
18.5 |
| Klein |
11.4 |
24.7 |
25.2 |
25.5 |
31.5 |
32.6 |
33.3 |
26.1 |
27.2 |
19.2 |
18.4 |
16.0 |
24.5 |
| Klein_Prob |
12.7 |
29.3 |
28.4 |
26.9 |
32.7 |
35.0 |
35.3 |
27.9 |
28.8 |
21.3 |
23.9 |
22.2 |
27.2 |
| NNet |
3.2 |
14.3 |
22.3 |
39.2 |
36.5 |
23.4 |
13.9 |
15.8 |
14.2 |
|
|
|
20.9 |
| NNet_Prob |
8.1 |
10.5 |
18.6 |
37.7 |
35.1 |
24.8 |
12.6 |
14.1 |
10.5 |
|
|
|
19.8 |
| ECMM |
12 |
Analogs |
17.0 |
23.0 |
14.7 |
20.2 |
23.1 |
24.0 |
24.3 |
21.1 |
11.4 |
9.0 |
11.2 |
15.0 |
18.1 |
| Klein |
11.4 |
24.9 |
27.2 |
22.8 |
29.1 |
30.9 |
34.6 |
24.9 |
24.5 |
18.3 |
15.2 |
17.3 |
23.6 |
| Klein_Prob |
11.4 |
28.3 |
28.7 |
24.7 |
29.1 |
30.2 |
35.5 |
27.3 |
28.1 |
19.1 |
20.9 |
22.8 |
25.7 |
| NNet |
5.6 |
16.6 |
23.8 |
35.8 |
34.5 |
21.0 |
12.7 |
14.1 |
3.3 |
|
|
|
20.0 |
| NNet_Prob |
8.2 |
13.3 |
21.1 |
34.4 |
33.8 |
22.7 |
11.5 |
14.5 |
5.8 |
|
|
|
19.5 |
| CANM |
00 |
Analogs |
20.9 |
21.1 |
18.1 |
16.7 |
23.5 |
17.6 |
18.8 |
12.0 |
13.3 |
9.6 |
12.4 |
11.3 |
16.5 |
| Klein |
10.9 |
23.6 |
25.5 |
24.4 |
31.8 |
30.3 |
26.3 |
16.8 |
20.6 |
20.3 |
17.9 |
10.7 |
21.8 |
| Klein_Prob |
12.7 |
26.6 |
20.9 |
29.1 |
33.0 |
32.6 |
28.1 |
19.2 |
33.4 |
|
|
|
26.2 |
| NNet |
9.6 |
10.9 |
18.6 |
31.7 |
31.1 |
19.1 |
12.6 |
14.7 |
9.9 |
|
|
|
18.5 |
| NNet_Prob |
6.7 |
10.2 |
8.0 |
31.2 |
30.4 |
19.9 |
12.3 |
12.5 |
7.5 |
|
|
|
16.5 |
| CANM |
12 |
Analogs |
23.8 |
15.3 |
13.5 |
20.6 |
14.2 |
18.3 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
10.8 |
14.7 |
10.5 |
9.3 |
15.1 |
| Klein |
15.7 |
24.4 |
27.7 |
22.2 |
25.8 |
26.3 |
20.8 |
13.5 |
17.4 |
18.1 |
15.0 |
9.2 |
19.9 |
| Klein_Prob |
16.9 |
27.4 |
23.2 |
24.6 |
25.8 |
27.4 |
21.3 |
15.9 |
27.5 |
|
|
|
23.5 |
| NNet |
7.1 |
13.2 |
18.2 |
31.6 |
26.7 |
15.1 |
15.4 |
14.5 |
2.4 |
|
|
|
17.5 |
| NNet_Prob |
10.8 |
11.2 |
8.2 |
32.0 |
27.0 |
17.7 |
13.7 |
8.8 |
4.0 |
|
|
|
16.2 |
| GFS |
00 |
Analogs |
19.0 |
12.2 |
11.5 |
10.6 |
13.0 |
18.1 |
17.2 |
14.4 |
11.0 |
9.0 |
16.6 |
9.8 |
13.9 |
| Klein |
8.9 |
13.7 |
14.6 |
17.1 |
18.9 |
25.3 |
21.1 |
22.6 |
20.1 |
18.2 |
21.5 |
13.5 |
18.2 |
| NNet |
-1.6 |
6.3 |
4.0 |
22.8 |
25.6 |
15.0 |
10.2 |
13.2 |
1.9 |
|
|
|
11.9 |
| GFS |
06 |
Analogs |
16.4 |
21.4 |
10.5 |
9.3 |
20.3 |
18.3 |
22.0 |
14.8 |
7.8 |
15.7 |
9.7 |
12.1 |
14.8 |
| Klein |
10.5 |
20.8 |
17.6 |
16.7 |
15.5 |
28.6 |
20.0 |
17.8 |
18.4 |
19.1 |
23.9 |
15.0 |
18.7 |
| NNet |
4.1 |
9.3 |
5.6 |
29.2 |
29.1 |
21.9 |
9.1 |
13.7 |
6.6 |
|
|
|
15.0 |
| GFS |
12 |
Analogs |
13.1 |
12.9 |
11.9 |
6.7 |
17.5 |
20.1 |
19.8 |
13.1 |
10.7 |
10.7 |
12.7 |
12.1 |
13.5 |
| Klein |
8.9 |
17.4 |
9.2 |
14.9 |
16.8 |
26.4 |
21.4 |
16.8 |
17.3 |
17.7 |
21.3 |
14.0 |
17.0 |
| NNet |
-3.6 |
12.0 |
5.2 |
20.9 |
24.9 |
13.9 |
9.7 |
9.5 |
2.7 |
|
|
|
11.5 |
| GFS |
18 |
Analogs |
11.1 |
14.2 |
15.1 |
3.9 |
13.6 |
17.4 |
21.0 |
14.0 |
13.1 |
11.1 |
15.9 |
11.3 |
13.7 |
| Klein |
5.3 |
17.6 |
18.3 |
8.8 |
12.3 |
24.3 |
21.6 |
14.4 |
15.6 |
18.0 |
17.7 |
18.6 |
16.2 |
| NNet |
2.7 |
11.4 |
14.0 |
21.7 |
24.0 |
16.6 |
13.2 |
8.7 |
-5.0 |
|
|
|
13.5 |
| ECM |
00 |
Analogs |
14.6 |
15.9 |
18.6 |
23.5 |
22.4 |
23.6 |
22.0 |
15.6 |
11.2 |
4.7 |
10.9 |
12.4 |
16.4 |
| Klein |
11.0 |
20.5 |
20.7 |
21.3 |
32.2 |
30.8 |
30.0 |
25.4 |
23.9 |
15.2 |
21.5 |
20.2 |
22.7 |
| NNet |
1.9 |
8.6 |
13.3 |
26.4 |
33.7 |
25.1 |
3.7 |
15.7 |
13.0 |
|
|
|
15.8 |
| ECM |
12 |
Analogs |
14.0 |
22.4 |
20.7 |
18.4 |
16.2 |
22.8 |
21.7 |
16.8 |
15.0 |
6.7 |
12.6 |
16.0 |
17.1 |
| Klein |
9.2 |
25.7 |
21.5 |
20.6 |
25.4 |
26.7 |
24.5 |
22.4 |
22.6 |
14.4 |
20.2 |
20.4 |
21.4 |
| NNet |
4.1 |
16.4 |
17.6 |
27.0 |
32.7 |
17.7 |
7.5 |
13.4 |
2.9 |
|
|
|
16.4 |
|