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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199506

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
6
0
3
3
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
29
28
44
101
0
3
3
6
29
31
47
107

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
100
0
50
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
26
41
94
0
3
3
6
27
29
44
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.290
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.26 0.13
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.065
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.012
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.065
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.013
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.269 0.060
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.017 0.008
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.903 0.064
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.723 0.500
samples: 6 out of 107 samples: 107 out of 107
%coverage: 5.61 %coverage: 100.00