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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199507

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
12
19
2
5
12
19

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
39
30
20
89
2
5
12
19
41
35
32
108

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
26
63
100
11
26
63
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
36
28
19
82
2
5
11
18
38
32
30
100

hitrate: 0.632 hitrate: 0.389
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 1.58
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.54 0.59
Heidke skill score: 0.447 Heidke skill score: 0.083
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.102
Kuipers skill score: 0.447 Kuipers skill score: 0.083
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.105
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.632
threat score:
0.000 0.319 0.308
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.018 0.191
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.857 0.375
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.368
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.663 0.368
samples: 19 out of 108 samples: 108 out of 108
%coverage: 17.59 %coverage: 100.00