CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199509

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
1
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
2
3
2
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
1
1
4
38
35
28
101
0
2
1
3
40
38
30
108

% contingency table
fcst
obs
29
14
14
57
0
0
0
0
0
29
14
43
29
43
29
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
1
1
4
35
32
26
94
0
2
1
3
37
35
28
100

hitrate: 0.429 hitrate: 0.352
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.00 0.00 1.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.10 2.66 0.10
Heidke skill score: 0.143 Heidke skill score: 0.028
true Heidke skill score: 0.200 true Heidke skill score: 0.002
Kuipers skill score: 0.143 Kuipers skill score: 0.028
true Kuipers skill score: 0.219 true Kuipers skill score: 0.002
threat score:
0.500 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.048 0.337 0.031
equitable threat score:
0.300 0.000 0.045
equitable threat score:
0.013 -0.008 0.005
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.050 0.921 0.033
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.500 0.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.500 0.653 0.667
samples: 7 out of 108 samples: 108 out of 108
%coverage: 6.48 %coverage: 100.00