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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199511

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14
8
5
27
14
8
5
27

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
24
27
27
78
14
8
5
27
38
35
32
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
52
30
19
100
52
30
19
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
23
26
26
74
13
8
5
26
36
33
30
100

hitrate: 0.185 hitrate: 0.305
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 5.40
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.23 0.84
Heidke skill score: -0.222 Heidke skill score: -0.043
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.031
Kuipers skill score: -0.222 Kuipers skill score: -0.043
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.032
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.185
threat score:
0.000 0.314 0.093
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.017 -0.071
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.771 0.156
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.815
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.654 0.815
samples: 27 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 25.71 %coverage: 100.00