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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199601

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
2
4
10
0
0
0
0
9
2
1
12
13
4
5
22

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
2
4
10
6
20
58
84
9
2
1
12
19
24
63
106

% contingency table
fcst
obs
18
9
18
45
0
0
0
0
41
9
5
55
59
18
23
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
4
2
4
9
6
19
55
79
8
2
1
11
18
23
59
100

hitrate: 0.227 hitrate: 0.236
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.77 0.00 2.40
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.53 3.50 0.19
Heidke skill score: -0.159 Heidke skill score: -0.146
true Heidke skill score: -0.272 true Heidke skill score: -0.038
Kuipers skill score: -0.159 Kuipers skill score: -0.146
true Kuipers skill score: -0.292 true Kuipers skill score: -0.049
threat score:
0.211 0.000 0.062
threat score:
0.160 0.227 0.014
equitable threat score:
-0.146 0.000 -0.130
equitable threat score:
0.095 0.014 -0.092
probability of detection:
0.308 0.000 0.200
probability of detection:
0.211 0.833 0.016
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.600 0.000 0.917
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.600 0.762 0.917
samples: 22 out of 106 samples: 106 out of 106
%coverage: 20.75 %coverage: 100.00