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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199607

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
2
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
0
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
2
0
6
25
33
40
98
0
0
0
0
29
35
40
104

% contingency table
fcst
obs
67
33
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
33
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
4
2
0
6
24
32
38
94
0
0
0
0
28
34
38
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.356
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.50 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.21 2.80 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.034
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.034
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.034
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.034
threat score:
0.667 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.129 0.330 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.079 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.138 0.943 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.333 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.333 0.663 0.000
samples: 6 out of 104 samples: 104 out of 104
%coverage: 5.77 %coverage: 100.00