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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199707

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
7
11
1
3
7
11

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
34
28
32
94
1
3
7
11
35
31
39
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
27
64
100
9
27
64
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
27
30
90
1
3
7
10
33
30
37
100

hitrate: 0.636 hitrate: 0.333
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 1.57
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.03 0.28
Heidke skill score: 0.455 Heidke skill score: 0.000
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.043
Kuipers skill score: 0.455 Kuipers skill score: 0.000
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.045
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.636
threat score:
0.000 0.289 0.163
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.004 0.075
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.903 0.179
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.364
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.702 0.364
samples: 11 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 10.48 %coverage: 100.00