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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200001

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
10
13
5
28
0
0
0
0
4
22
10
36
14
35
15
64

contingency table
fcst
obs
10
13
5
28
8
24
10
42
4
22
10
36
22
59
25
106

% contingency table
fcst
obs
16
20
8
44
0
0
0
0
6
34
16
56
22
55
23
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
9
12
5
26
8
23
9
40
4
21
9
34
21
56
24
100

hitrate: 0.312 hitrate: 0.415
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.00 0.00 2.40
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.27 0.71 1.44
Heidke skill score: -0.031 Heidke skill score: 0.123
true Heidke skill score: 0.110 true Heidke skill score: 0.093
Kuipers skill score: -0.031 Kuipers skill score: 0.123
true Kuipers skill score: 0.142 true Kuipers skill score: 0.101
threat score:
0.312 0.000 0.244
threat score:
0.250 0.312 0.196
equitable threat score:
0.150 0.000 0.048
equitable threat score:
0.123 0.012 0.036
probability of detection:
0.714 0.000 0.667
probability of detection:
0.455 0.407 0.400
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.643 0.000 0.722
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.643 0.429 0.722
samples: 64 out of 106 samples: 106 out of 106
%coverage: 60.38 %coverage: 100.00