CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200010

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
16
19
0
0
0
0
16
9
5
30
16
12
21
49

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
16
19
22
13
23
58
16
9
5
30
38
25
44
107

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
6
33
39
0
0
0
0
33
18
10
61
33
24
43
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
15
18
21
12
21
54
15
8
5
28
36
23
41
100

hitrate: 0.102 hitrate: 0.168
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.19 0.00 1.43
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.50 2.32 0.68
Heidke skill score: -0.347 Heidke skill score: -0.248
true Heidke skill score: -0.470 true Heidke skill score: -0.197
Kuipers skill score: -0.347 Kuipers skill score: -0.248
true Kuipers skill score: -0.442 true Kuipers skill score: -0.210
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.109
threat score:
0.000 0.186 0.072
equitable threat score:
-0.215 0.000 -0.237
equitable threat score:
-0.134 -0.010 -0.129
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.238
probability of detection:
0.000 0.520 0.114
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.833
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.776 0.833
samples: 49 out of 107 samples: 107 out of 107
%coverage: 45.79 %coverage: 100.00