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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200103

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
3
9
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
9
14

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
3
9
14
41
26
28
95
0
0
0
0
43
29
37
109

% contingency table
fcst
obs
14
21
64
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14
21
64
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
3
8
13
38
24
26
87
0
0
0
0
39
27
34
100

hitrate: 0.143 hitrate: 0.257
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
7.00 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.33 3.28 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.286 Heidke skill score: -0.115
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.036
Kuipers skill score: -0.286 Kuipers skill score: -0.115
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.039
threat score:
0.143 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.036 0.265 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.071 0.010 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.047 0.897 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.857 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.857 0.726 0.000
samples: 14 out of 109 samples: 109 out of 109
%coverage: 12.84 %coverage: 100.00