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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200107

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
3
6
0
0
0
0
4
3
0
7
4
6
3
13

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
3
6
27
29
38
94
4
3
0
7
31
35
41
107

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
23
23
46
0
0
0
0
31
23
0
54
31
46
23
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
3
6
25
27
36
88
4
3
0
7
29
33
38
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.271
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.50 0.00 2.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.19 2.69 0.17
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.093
true Heidke skill score: -0.363 true Heidke skill score: -0.086
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.093
true Kuipers skill score: -0.417 true Kuipers skill score: -0.087
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.290 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.226 0.000 -0.193
equitable threat score:
-0.049 -0.025 -0.059
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.829 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.691 1.000
samples: 13 out of 107 samples: 107 out of 107
%coverage: 12.15 %coverage: 100.00