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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200110

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
5
2
1
2
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
48
31
23
102
2
1
2
5
50
32
25
107

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40
20
40
100
40
20
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
45
29
21
95
2
1
2
5
47
30
23
100

hitrate: 0.400 hitrate: 0.308
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.19 0.20
Heidke skill score: 0.100 Heidke skill score: -0.037
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.018
Kuipers skill score: 0.100 Kuipers skill score: -0.037
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.019
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.400
threat score:
0.000 0.301 0.071
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.007 0.031
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.969 0.080
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.600
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.696 0.600
samples: 5 out of 107 samples: 107 out of 107
%coverage: 4.67 %coverage: 100.00