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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
2
8
4
2
2
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
46
38
15
99
4
2
2
8
50
40
17
107

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
25
25
100
50
25
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
43
36
14
93
4
2
2
7
47
37
16
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.374
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.48 0.47
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: 0.061
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.025
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: 0.061
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.026
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.376 0.087
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.015 0.034
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.950 0.118
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.616 0.750
samples: 8 out of 107 samples: 107 out of 107
%coverage: 7.48 %coverage: 100.00