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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200202

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
7
3
3
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
3
3
13

contingency table
fcst
obs
7
3
3
13
62
26
6
94
0
0
0
0
69
29
9
107

% contingency table
fcst
obs
54
23
23
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
54
23
23
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
7
3
3
12
58
24
6
88
0
0
0
0
64
27
8
100

hitrate: 0.538 hitrate: 0.308
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.86 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.19 3.24 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.308 Heidke skill score: -0.037
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.012
Kuipers skill score: 0.308 Kuipers skill score: -0.037
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.016
threat score:
0.538 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.093 0.268 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.021 0.007 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.101 0.897 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.462 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.462 0.723 0.000
samples: 13 out of 107 samples: 107 out of 107
%coverage: 12.15 %coverage: 100.00