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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200203

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
39
45
21
105
0
2
0
2
39
47
21
107

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
36
42
20
98
0
2
0
2
36
44
20
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.421
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.23 0.10
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.131
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.025
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.131
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.022
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.421 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.018 -0.017
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.957 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.571 1.000
samples: 2 out of 107 samples: 107 out of 107
%coverage: 1.87 %coverage: 100.00