CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199602

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
19
18
37
0
19
18
37

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
42
20
67
0
19
18
37
5
61
38
104

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
51
49
100
0
51
49
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
40
19
64
0
18
17
36
5
59
37
100

hitrate: 0.486 hitrate: 0.577
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 2.06
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.10 0.97
Heidke skill score: 0.230 Heidke skill score: 0.365
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.140
Kuipers skill score: 0.230 Kuipers skill score: 0.365
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.133
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.486
threat score:
0.000 0.488 0.316
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.058 0.103
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.689 0.474
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.514
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.373 0.514
samples: 37 out of 104 samples: 104 out of 104
%coverage: 35.58 %coverage: 100.00