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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199605

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
6
4
0
2
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
31
25
43
99
4
0
2
6
35
25
45
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
0
33
100
67
0
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
24
41
94
4
0
2
6
33
24
43
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.257
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 3.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.96 0.13
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: -0.114
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.011
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.114
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.013
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.253 0.041
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.019 -0.012
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.044
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.747 0.667
samples: 6 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 5.71 %coverage: 100.00