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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199606

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
11
15
0
4
11
15

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
6
49
35
90
0
4
11
15
6
53
46
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
27
73
100
0
27
73
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
6
47
33
86
0
4
10
14
6
50
44
100

hitrate: 0.733 hitrate: 0.571
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.36
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.70 0.33
Heidke skill score: 0.600 Heidke skill score: 0.357
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.151
Kuipers skill score: 0.600 Kuipers skill score: 0.357
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.139
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.733
threat score:
0.000 0.521 0.220
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.074 0.102
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.925 0.239
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.267
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.456 0.267
samples: 15 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 14.29 %coverage: 100.00