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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199607

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
19
16
18
53
19
16
18
53

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
8
11
52
19
16
18
53
52
24
29
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
36
30
34
100
36
30
34
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
31
8
10
50
18
15
17
50
50
23
28
100

hitrate: 0.340 hitrate: 0.248
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.94
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.17 1.83
Heidke skill score: 0.009 Heidke skill score: -0.129
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.007
Kuipers skill score: 0.009 Kuipers skill score: -0.129
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.008
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.340
threat score:
0.000 0.118 0.281
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.069 0.068
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.333 0.621
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.660
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.846 0.660
samples: 53 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 50.48 %coverage: 100.00