CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199609

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
8
4
2
14
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
6
8
8
4
20

contingency table
fcst
obs
8
4
2
14
36
40
9
85
0
4
2
6
44
48
13
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
40
20
10
70
0
0
0
0
0
20
10
30
40
40
20
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
8
4
2
13
34
38
9
81
0
4
2
6
42
46
12
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.476
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.75 0.00 1.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.32 1.77 0.46
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.214
true Heidke skill score: 0.242 true Heidke skill score: 0.076
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.214
true Kuipers skill score: 0.250 true Kuipers skill score: 0.072
threat score:
0.571 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.160 0.430 0.118
equitable threat score:
0.286 0.000 0.118
equitable threat score:
0.048 0.021 0.077
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.182 0.833 0.154
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.429 0.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.429 0.529 0.667
samples: 20 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 19.05 %coverage: 100.00