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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199701

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
8
9
0
1
8
9

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
68
25
97
0
1
8
9
4
69
33
106

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
89
100
0
11
89
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
64
24
92
0
1
8
8
4
65
31
100

hitrate: 0.889 hitrate: 0.717
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.12
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.41 0.27
Heidke skill score: 0.833 Heidke skill score: 0.575
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.251
Kuipers skill score: 0.833 Kuipers skill score: 0.575
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.199
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.889
threat score:
0.000 0.694 0.235
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.139 0.167
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.986 0.242
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.111
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.299 0.111
samples: 9 out of 106 samples: 106 out of 106
%coverage: 8.49 %coverage: 100.00