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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199704

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
19
10
5
34
19
10
5
34

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
62
8
0
70
19
10
5
34
81
18
5
104

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
56
29
15
100
56
29
15
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
60
8
0
67
18
10
5
33
78
17
5
100

hitrate: 0.147 hitrate: 0.125
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 6.80
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.89 6.80
Heidke skill score: -0.279 Heidke skill score: -0.313
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.008
Kuipers skill score: -0.279 Kuipers skill score: -0.313
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.020
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.147
threat score:
0.000 0.100 0.147
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.061 0.104
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.444 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.853
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.886 0.853
samples: 34 out of 104 samples: 104 out of 104
%coverage: 32.69 %coverage: 100.00