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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199712

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
39
27
69
3
39
27
69

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
16
3
36
3
39
27
69
20
55
30
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
57
39
100
4
57
39
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
16
15
3
34
3
37
26
66
19
52
29
100

hitrate: 0.391 hitrate: 0.410
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.56
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.65 2.30
Heidke skill score: 0.087 Heidke skill score: 0.114
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.067
Kuipers skill score: 0.087 Kuipers skill score: 0.114
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.069
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.391
threat score:
0.000 0.213 0.375
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.051 0.139
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.291 0.900
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.609
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.556 0.609
samples: 69 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 65.71 %coverage: 100.00