CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199808

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
6
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
17
20
0
5
23
28

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
6
8
1
18
57
76
0
3
17
20
1
23
80
104

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
7
21
29
0
0
0
0
0
11
61
71
0
18
82
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
6
8
1
17
55
73
0
3
16
19
1
22
77
100

hitrate: 0.607 hitrate: 0.337
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.87
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
8.00 3.30 0.25
Heidke skill score: 0.411 Heidke skill score: 0.005
true Heidke skill score: 0.049 true Heidke skill score: 0.038
Kuipers skill score: 0.411 Kuipers skill score: 0.005
true Kuipers skill score: 0.070 true Kuipers skill score: 0.073
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.654
threat score:
0.000 0.222 0.205
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.060
equitable threat score:
-0.009 0.019 0.024
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.739
probability of detection:
0.000 0.783 0.213
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.150
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.763 0.150
samples: 28 out of 104 samples: 104 out of 104
%coverage: 26.92 %coverage: 100.00