CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200001

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
7
7
14
0
17
43
60
0
25
50
75

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
23
25
48
0
17
43
60
0
41
68
109

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
9
9
19
0
23
57
80
0
33
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
21
23
44
0
16
39
55
0
38
62
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.606
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.56 1.20
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.17 0.88
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.408
true Heidke skill score: 0.176 true Heidke skill score: 0.196
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.408
true Kuipers skill score: 0.160 true Kuipers skill score: 0.206
threat score:
0.000 0.219 0.642
threat score:
0.000 0.348 0.506
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.085 0.111
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.103 0.117
probability of detection:
0.000 0.280 0.860
probability of detection:
0.000 0.561 0.632
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.500 0.283
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.521 0.283
samples: 75 out of 109 samples: 109 out of 109
%coverage: 68.81 %coverage: 100.00