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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200004

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
44
23
92
25
44
23
92

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
6
11
17
25
44
23
92
25
50
34
109

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
27
48
25
100
27
48
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
6
10
16
23
40
21
84
23
46
31
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.266
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.34 2.71
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: -0.101
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.103
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: -0.101
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.107
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.098 0.223
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.034 -0.077
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.120 0.676
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.647 0.750
samples: 92 out of 109 samples: 109 out of 109
%coverage: 84.40 %coverage: 100.00