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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200005

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
20
79
100
2
20
80
102

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
5
2
9
1
20
79
100
3
25
81
109

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
20
77
98
2
20
78
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
5
2
8
1
18
72
92
3
23
74
100

hitrate: 0.775 hitrate: 0.771
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.10 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.36 1.23
Heidke skill score: 0.662 Heidke skill score: 0.656
true Heidke skill score: 0.008 true Heidke skill score: 0.234
Kuipers skill score: 0.662 Kuipers skill score: 0.656
true Kuipers skill score: 0.005 true Kuipers skill score: 0.177
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.782
threat score:
0.000 0.172 0.775
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.018 0.025
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.109 0.169
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.988
probability of detection:
0.000 0.200 0.975
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.210
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.444 0.210
samples: 102 out of 109 samples: 109 out of 109
%coverage: 93.58 %coverage: 100.00