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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200006

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
30
40
36
106
30
40
36
106

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
30
40
36
106
32
40
37
109

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
28
38
34
100
28
38
34
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
28
37
33
97
29
37
34
100

hitrate: 0.340 hitrate: 0.330
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.94
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.08 2.86
Heidke skill score: 0.009 Heidke skill score: -0.005
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.015
Kuipers skill score: 0.009 Kuipers skill score: -0.005
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.015
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.340
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.336
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.026 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.973
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.660
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.660
samples: 106 out of 109 samples: 109 out of 109
%coverage: 97.25 %coverage: 100.00