CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200007

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
34
22
26
82
34
22
26
82

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
12
6
9
27
34
22
26
82
46
28
35
109

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
41
27
32
100
41
27
32
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
11
6
8
25
31
20
24
75
42
26
32
100

hitrate: 0.317 hitrate: 0.294
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 3.15
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.96 2.34
Heidke skill score: -0.024 Heidke skill score: -0.060
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.017
Kuipers skill score: -0.024 Kuipers skill score: -0.060
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.018
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.317
threat score:
0.000 0.122 0.286
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.022 -0.005
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.214 0.743
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.683
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.778 0.683
samples: 82 out of 109 samples: 109 out of 109
%coverage: 75.23 %coverage: 100.00