CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200111

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
16
16
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
6
0
2
20
22

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
16
16
0
6
79
85
0
2
4
6
0
8
99
107

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
73
73
0
0
0
0
0
9
18
27
0
9
91
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
15
15
0
6
74
79
0
2
4
6
0
7
93
100

hitrate: 0.182 hitrate: 0.093
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.30
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 10.62 0.06
Heidke skill score: -0.227 Heidke skill score: -0.360
true Heidke skill score: -0.088 true Heidke skill score: -0.020
Kuipers skill score: -0.227 Kuipers skill score: -0.360
true Kuipers skill score: -0.400 true Kuipers skill score: -0.129
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.182
threat score:
0.000 0.069 0.040
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 -0.088
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.004 -0.016
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.200
probability of detection:
0.000 0.750 0.040
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.333
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.929 0.333
samples: 22 out of 107 samples: 107 out of 107
%coverage: 20.56 %coverage: 100.00