CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200203

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
54
28
9
91
54
28
9
91

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
12
0
16
54
28
9
91
58
40
9
107

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
59
31
10
100
59
31
10
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
11
0
15
50
26
8
85
54
37
8
100

hitrate: 0.099 hitrate: 0.196
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 10.11
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.40 10.11
Heidke skill score: -0.352 Heidke skill score: -0.206
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.079
Kuipers skill score: -0.352 Kuipers skill score: -0.206
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.123
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.099
threat score:
0.000 0.273 0.099
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.158 0.016
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.300 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.901
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.250 0.901
samples: 91 out of 107 samples: 107 out of 107
%coverage: 85.05 %coverage: 100.00