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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200204

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
22
26
0
4
22
26

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
10
29
43
82
0
4
22
26
10
33
65
108

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
15
85
100
0
15
85
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
9
27
40
76
0
4
20
24
9
31
60
100

hitrate: 0.846 hitrate: 0.472
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.18
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.48 0.40
Heidke skill score: 0.769 Heidke skill score: 0.208
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.153
Kuipers skill score: 0.769 Kuipers skill score: 0.208
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.178
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.846
threat score:
0.000 0.337 0.319
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.065 0.119
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.879 0.338
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.154
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.646 0.154
samples: 26 out of 108 samples: 108 out of 108
%coverage: 24.07 %coverage: 100.00