CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200205

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
21
13
40
6
21
13
40

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
50
16
2
68
6
21
13
40
56
37
15
108

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
15
53
33
100
15
53
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
46
15
2
63
6
19
12
37
52
34
14
100

hitrate: 0.325 hitrate: 0.269
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 3.08
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.84 2.67
Heidke skill score: -0.013 Heidke skill score: -0.097
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.002
Kuipers skill score: -0.013 Kuipers skill score: -0.097
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.002
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.325
threat score:
0.000 0.180 0.310
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.111 0.204
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.432 0.867
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.675
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.765 0.675
samples: 40 out of 108 samples: 108 out of 108
%coverage: 37.04 %coverage: 100.00