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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200210

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Official Categorical Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
1
6
1
4
1
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
62
21
18
101
1
4
1
6
63
25
19
107

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
67
17
100
17
67
17
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
58
20
17
94
1
4
1
6
59
23
18
100

hitrate: 0.167 hitrate: 0.206
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 6.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.04 0.32
Heidke skill score: -0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.192
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.032
Kuipers skill score: -0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.192
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.044
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.167
threat score:
0.000 0.200 0.042
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.032 -0.003
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.840 0.053
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.833
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.792 0.833
samples: 6 out of 107 samples: 107 out of 107
%coverage: 5.61 %coverage: 100.00