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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199501

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
3
2
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
1
3
9
12
32
53
0
1
1
2
9
15
34
58

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
40
20
60
0
0
0
0
0
20
20
40
0
60
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
2
5
16
21
55
91
0
2
2
3
16
26
59
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.224
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.33 3.53 0.06
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: -0.164
true Heidke skill score: 0.048 true Heidke skill score: -0.055
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: -0.164
true Kuipers skill score: 0.083 true Kuipers skill score: -0.072
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.214 0.029
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.091
equitable threat score:
-0.040 -0.040 -0.005
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.000 0.800 0.029
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.774 0.500
samples: 5 out of 58 samples: 58 out of 58
%coverage: 8.62 %coverage: 100.00