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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199502

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
2
3
0
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
23
24
6
53
2
2
0
4
25
27
6
58

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
20
0
20
0
0
0
0
40
40
0
80
40
60
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
40
41
10
91
3
3
0
7
43
47
10
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.414
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.50 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.04 1.96 0.67
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.121
true Heidke skill score: -0.087 true Heidke skill score: -0.047
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.121
true Kuipers skill score: -0.167 true Kuipers skill score: -0.045
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.429 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.154 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.017 -0.021 -0.043
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.889 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.547 1.000
samples: 5 out of 58 samples: 58 out of 58
%coverage: 8.62 %coverage: 100.00