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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199505

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
18
26
57
0
1
0
1
13
19
26
58

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
22
31
45
98
0
2
0
2
22
33
45
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.310
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.00 0.04
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.034
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.029
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.034
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.030
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.310 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.017 -0.017
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.947 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.684 1.000
samples: 1 out of 58 samples: 58 out of 58
%coverage: 1.72 %coverage: 100.00