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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199512

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
18
23
14
55
1
0
0
1
20
23
14
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
33
0
0
33
0
33
0
33
33
0
0
33
67
33
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
32
40
25
96
2
0
0
2
35
40
25
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.421
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.50 1.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.05 2.39 0.07
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.132
true Heidke skill score: 0.500 true Heidke skill score: 0.035
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.132
true Kuipers skill score: 0.750 true Kuipers skill score: 0.032
threat score:
0.500 1.000 0.000
threat score:
0.050 0.418 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.250 1.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.033 0.025 -0.017
probability of detection:
0.500 1.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.050 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.582 1.000
samples: 3 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 5.26 %coverage: 100.00