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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199601

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
0
1
3
3
1
2
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
9
13
32
54
2
0
1
3
11
13
33
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
17
17
50
33
0
17
50
50
17
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
16
23
56
95
4
0
2
5
19
23
58
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.246
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.00 1.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.15 0.09
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: -0.132
true Heidke skill score: 0.111 true Heidke skill score: -0.001
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.132
true Kuipers skill score: 0.136 true Kuipers skill score: -0.002
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.241 0.029
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.200 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.016 -0.022
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.030
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.667 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.759 0.667
samples: 6 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 10.53 %coverage: 100.00