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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199602

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
2
1
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
12
14
53
2
1
1
4
29
13
15
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
25
25
100
50
25
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
47
21
25
93
4
2
2
7
51
23
26
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.228
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.08 0.27
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: -0.158
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.003
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: -0.158
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.004
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.222 0.056
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.002 -0.003
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.923 0.067
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.774 0.750
samples: 4 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 7.02 %coverage: 100.00